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Orpea: Oddo maintains neutral rating

( - Oddo maintains its "neutral" rating on Orpea shares, with an unchanged target price of 16 euros, after the group presented its 3-pronged transformation plan (financial restructuring, remodelling and rebuilding).

Oddo says that the financial part is just opening up and the conditions are tense. Indeed, Orpea said that it is targeting revenues of 6.1 billion euros in 2025 and an EBITDAR margin of 20% (vs. 17% in 22e and 23e), a plan that Oddo considers as ambitious, which believes that the collapse has been avoided, while the tunnel remains long.

The broker points out that there are uncertainties linked to financing conditions on the markets, as well as a high level of dilution for shareholders (probably around 80%-90%), and above all, an implementation timeframe that analysts do not want to underestimate.

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