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Pernod Ricard: Oddo optimistic and upgrades to 'buy'

(CercleFinance.com) - An analyst at Oddo BHF this morning upgraded his rating on the Pernod Ricard share, from "neutral" to "buy," ahead of the publication of quarterly results on 18 April - which the broker nevertheless expects to "slow down".


Alongside this upgrade, the analyst has raised his target price for the share - from 170 euros to 180 euros.

Oddo BHF believes that, despite the anticipated slowdown in Q3, the group has the ability to outperform its guidance - particularly thanks to the strong profitability of its US subsidiary. The group is expected to announce a string of good news over the next 18 months. Given expected improvements in its operating performance and returns to shareholders in general, the share is expected to trade at a premium of 10% to 15% relative to its main competitor, Diageo, the broker writes.

It adds that FY sales are expected to grow by nearly 6% (consensus +5.7% vs. +6.0% in 2017/18), even after the slowdown in Q3, The group therefore remains at the top end of its long-term guidance range (+4%-7%) and is approaching the performances of its competitors Diageo, Rémy-Cointreau and Campari. However, to date it has lacks operating leverage relative to its peers.


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