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Hermès: growth in sight, Oddo ups forecast

(CercleFinance.com) - Oddo reviews its forecasts for Hermès and expects “marked positive growth both in the 3rd and 4th quarters”, in comparison with Q3 and Q4 2019.


Although it was counting on a fall of 8% and 4% respectively in the 3rd and 4th quarters, the analyst now anticipates a rise of 1% and 4%.

As a result, the “group should return, from the 2nd quarter, to a global activity level close to that of 2019”, says Oddo. Margins should however remain “well below the 33.2% observed in the 2nd quarter of 2019 and will probably not cross the 30% mark”.

The broker is expecting an 11% fall in organic revenues in 2020, which corresponds to a 5% rise in its estimates.

In this context, Oddo maintains its 'neutral' recommendation but reviews its target price upwards, to 723 euros compared to 713 euros previously.

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